TECHNOLOGY

This City Used Big Data to Beat a Big Rat Problem

February 1st, 2022

In 2012, Somerville, Massachusetts, was facing what Daniel Hadley, now Mayor Joe Curtatone’s chief of staff, called an “onslaught of rats.”

Year over year, complaints about rats had risen 65 percent. The number of rat-related calls to the city’s hotline in the summers of 2012 and 2013 was more than twice what it had been in 2010. (Rat populations boomed during successive mild winters in the Northeast.) The city of 78,000 north of Boston was under siege, and it responded in kind. Somerville declared war on rats.

Now, rat sightings are down an incredible 66 percent year over year — thanks to data analysis (and new trash cans).

Somerville’s Rodent Action Team (RAT), a group of public health professionals, data analysts and city workers, started by mapping the reported rat sightings — the city was receiving, on average, two rat-related calls a day in 2012. They began to see a pattern. As London’s cholera cases clustered around wells, so Somerville’s rat sightings were concentrated around food sources.

That might seem obvious, but there’s a reason that many municipal anti-rat projects focus on rat reproduction. According to the sterilization company SENES, four male and four female rats can add an incredible 14.5 million rats to the population over their eight-to-nine-month lifetimes. Food sources can seem like a secondary concern. Also around 2012, New York’s Metropolitan Transit Authority conducted a well-reported sterilization experiment in the subways. (Surveys reported a 3 percent drop in rat sightings that year.)

Academy - Guaranteed Best Prices


In Somerville, clamping down on food sources (in concert with a tough winter) produced a shocking success.

The city quadrupled the number of waste container licenses it issued to restaurants. It bought 64-gallon trash cans for every house in the city. After all, if residential garbage pickup and disposal is a municipal service, why not garbage storage? Standardizing the city’s bins was first and foremost a RAT initiative, but the result was aesthetically pleasant too.

The primary data source wasn’t exactly high-tech: Rats were only reported by calls to the city’s 311 line. That tended to mean that neighborhoods with high percentages of homeowners were overrepresented in the raw data, while others seemed to have fewer issues. But by looking at rat reports as a percentage of total calls, the city figured it was getting a more reliable geographic portrait. A comparison with neighboring Boston was instructive. The two cities’ rat reports seemed to move in concert, to the point where officials could predict the number of calls in Somerville based on the parallel figure in Boston.

Until this year, that is. After the brutal winter, the snowiest in Boston’s snowy history, experts expected rat populations to take a hit. Boston’s did. But Somerville’s rat population declined 40 percent more than that of its neighbor across the Charles.

Surfshark AdBlock

We tend to think of such data-driven management as a technique reserved for big cities like Chicago and New York, with their in-house analysis teams. Somerville is bucking that stereotype. The city has a five-person department called SomerStat that offers analytical expertise on matters like the budget and public works. Curtatone, who has been mayor since 2004, said that the city already had the data in hand — it just didn’t have a team to use it.

Skye Stewart, the director of the department, said that resources had previously been allocated based on best estimates or gut feelings. Now, it’s her team — “a bunch of data nerds” — who help out, in turn reducing the city’s dependence on expensive outside consultants.

As the new trash bins were distributed to residents, for example, SomerStat helped the city’s Department of Public Works determine how many residents had overflowing bins, and how that number varied between garbage routes.

“With the right sort of analysis you can … save hundreds of millions of dollars,” said Hadley, who headed up SomerStat for three-and-a-half years before Stewart took over last summer. “In midsize cities, the amount of data is proliferating to the extent that it’s becoming more cost-effective.”

He’s still envious of how a city like New York, which is more than 100 times Somerville’s size, can gather and manipulate information about traffic or crime. Somerville, however, may have set the standard in one field: rat reduction.

With the city receiving just a third as many calls as last year, Hadley was triumphant. “I’ve never seen a drop quite like that,” he said.

Curated By

Kaito Tanaka
Strategic Innovation Consultant | Technology Investment Analyst | Operations Research Director
Kaito Tanaka is a futurist journalist who approaches news through the lens of optimization and efficiency. Specializing in cutting-edge technologies like CRISPR, robotics, and supply chain innovations, he distills complex developments into their most actionable insights. Known for his clinical analysis style, Kaito cuts through traditional narratives to identify systemic inefficiencies and opportunities for progress. His commentary reflects a pragmatic worldview where sentiment yields to solutions, and every story is evaluated based on its potential to advance human capability. When he's not tracking breakthrough research, you'll find him optimizing his own workflow or planning his next travel adventure with mathematical precision.

Suggested Reading

The Rise of Autonomous Smart Cities: Technology, Economic Performance and Climate Resilience

​This book introduces the concept of the ‘autonomous city’- a concept that has been developed from the ‘smart cities’ model that is based on a city’s ability to gather data and taking it one step further. The digital revolution has brought about numerous changes in the urban realm, along with the ...

Data Action: Using Data for Public Good

Big data can be used for good--from tracking disease to exposing human rights violations--and for bad--implementing surveillance and control. Data inevitably represents the ideologies of those who control its use; data analytics and algorithms too often exclude women, the poor, and ethnic groups. In...

Garbology: Our Dirty Love Affair with Trash

The average American produces 102 tons of garbage across a lifetime and $50 billion in squandered riches are rolled to the curb each year. But our bins are just the starting point for a strange, impressive, mysterious, and costly journey that may also represent the greatest untapped opportunity of t...

Rats: Observations on the History & Habitat of the City's Most Unwanted Inhabitants

Love them or loathe them, rats are here to stay-they are city dwellers as much as (or more than) we are, surviving on the effluvia of our society. In Rats, the critically acclaimed bestseller, Robert Sullivan spends a year investigating a rat-infested alley just a few blocks away from Wall Street. S...

We use cookies to improve your experience on our website. By continuing to browse, you accept our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy.